The accessible redacted report is entitled: IDA MEMORANDUM REPORT M-317 - CRITICAL TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT IN ISRAEL AND NATO NATIONS
Additionally, the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) provides detailed history about the development of nuclear capability in Israel. no longer "officially" a secret since last year. The FAS report entitled "Nuclear Weapons", listed under "Israel", was posted in 2007.
As usual, it is the application of a "double-standard" which creates problems.
Faisal Merchant has provided the timeline information, below, of Israel's complaints about Iran through the decades during which time (all the while) Israel was denying and prevaricating about (how about simply outright lying about) it's nuclear capability, as were all the nations that helped Israel achieve the capability.
Here’s a timeline of Israeli warnings on Iranian nukes (via Opinio Juris)
1992: Israeli parliamentarian Benjamin Netanyahu tells his colleagues that Iran is 3 to 5 years from being able to produce a nuclear weapon. 1995: The New York Times reports that US and Israeli officials fear “Iran is much closer to producing nuclear weapons than previously thought” – less than five years away. Netanyahu claims the time frame is three to five years. 1996: Israeli Prime Minister Shimon Peres claims Iran will have nuclear weapons in four years. 1998: Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld claims Iran could build an ICBM capable of reaching the US within five years. 1999: An Israeli military official claims that Iran will have a nuclear weapon within five years. 2001: The Israeli Minister of Defence claims that Iran will be ready to launch a nuclear weapon in less than four years. 2002: The CIA warns that the danger of nuclear weapons from Iran is higher than during the Cold War, because its missile capability has grown more quickly than expected since 2000 – putting it on par with North Korea. 2003: A high-ranking Israeli military officer tells the Knesset that Iran will have the bomb by 2005 — 17 months away. 2006: A State Department official claims that Iran may be capable of building a nuclear weapon in 16 days. 2008: An Israeli general tells the Cabinet that Iran is “half-way” to enriching enough uranium to build a nuclear weapon and will have a working weapon no later than the end of 2010. 2009: Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak estimates that Iran is 6-18 months away from building an operative nuclear weapon. 2010: Israeli decision-makers believe that Iran is at most 1-3 years away from being able to assemble a nuclear weapon. 2011: IAEA report indicates that Iran could build a nuclear weapon within months. 2013: Israeli intelligence officials claim that Iran could have the bomb by 2015 or 2016. |
